Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 52.85%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-0 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.

Result
FC Winterthur	Draw	FC Zurich
23.8% ( 0.09)	23.35% ( 0.03)	52.85% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 55.82% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18% (

-0.02)

44.82% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.82% (

-0.03)

67.18% (

0.03)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.2% (

0.06)

32.8% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.63% (

0.07)

69.37% (

-0.07)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06% (

-0.05)

16.94% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.98% (

-0.09)

47.02% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

FC Winterthur 23.8%

FC Zurich 52.85%

Draw 23.35%

FC Winterthur	Draw	FC Zurich
1-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 23.8%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.35%	0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.85%