Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 69.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.