While both these sides are carrying very poor recent records into this match, Fleetwood's draw away to league leaders Portsmouth last week would have given them a much-needed boost of confidence, which they will look to carry into this match.
With both sides averaging less than a goal a game, we are certainly not expecting a goal fest here, but we are backing the hosts to edge this one by a single goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
-0.16) 
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