Despite ending their barren run with a victory in their previous outing, Gil Vicente have failed to beat Friday's opponents in any of the last 14 meetings between the two, and we expect that to continue with an Arouca victory in this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.03) 
