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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
A

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Arouca

Carvalho (37')
Alipour (58'), Carvalho (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dabbagh (30')
Milovanov (27'), Basso (90+2'), Nunes (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Tuesday, January 31 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-2 Arouca

With Gil Vicente in danger of plying their trade in Liga Portugal 2 for the first time since 2018, we predict that Arouca will implement further relegation turbulence into the hosts' dressing room when referee Artur Soares Dias brings the curtain down on Sunday evening's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawArouca
51.67% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 25.35% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 22.97% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.18% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)53.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)75.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)20.84% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)53.52% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (0.033999999999999 0.03)38.53% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.72% (0.036000000000001 0.04)75.27% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 51.67%
    Arouca 22.97%
    Draw 25.35%
Gil VicenteDrawArouca
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-0 @ 9.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Gil Vicente
Tuesday, January 31 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Gil Vicente
Sunday, January 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-1 Guimaraes
Monday, January 16 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, January 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Santa Clara
Thursday, December 29 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, December 21 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Tuesday, January 31 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Arouca 4-0 Portimonense
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, January 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Arouca
Wednesday, January 11 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, January 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


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