Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
May 13, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Velez Sarsfield.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
| Result |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
37.11% ( -1.04) | 29.54% ( 0.21) | 33.34% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 43.25% ( -0.42) |
| 36.28% ( -0.58) | 63.72% ( 0.57) |
| 17.01% ( -0.41) | 82.99% ( 0.41) |
| 67.05% ( -0.95) | 32.95% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.47% ( -1.07) | 69.53% ( 1.07) |
| 64.51% ( 0.28) | 35.49% ( -0.28) |
