Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 72.39%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 10.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.