Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 77.93%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.49%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.07) 
