Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
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