Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for SSC Farul had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest SSC Farul win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
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