Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Jong AZ	Draw	Roda JC
36.59% ( -0.95)	23.87% ( -0.01)	39.54% ( 0.96)

Both teams to score 61.9% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.72% (

-0.02)

40.28% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.34% (

-0.03)

62.66% (

0.03)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

-0.49)

22.05% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

-0.75)

55.38% (

0.76)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41% (

0.45)

20.59% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.86% (

0.7)

53.14% (

-0.7)

Score Analysis

Jong AZ 36.59%

Roda JC 39.54%

Draw 23.86%

Jong AZ	Draw	Roda JC
2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.59%	1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.9% Total : 39.54%