Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for ADO Den Haag in this match.
-0.06) 
0.15) 
