Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Linfield and Pogon Szczecin.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result |
| Linfield | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
31.48% ( -0.01) | 26.53% ( 0) | 41.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( -0.01) |
| 46.73% ( -0.01) | 53.27% ( 0.01) |
| 25.17% ( -0.01) | 74.83% ( 0.01) |
| 68.66% ( -0.02) | 31.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.3% ( -0.02) | 67.7% ( 0.02) |
