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CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 14, 2023 at 12am UK
Stade Municipal Pierre-Aliker
ES

Martinique
1 - 0
El Salvador

Marajo (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Martinique 1-0 Curacao
Monday, September 11 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 2-3 Trin. & Tob.
Monday, September 11 at 3.10am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Martinique 2-2 El Salvador

While El Salvador will be desperate to get off to a winning start under their new manager, we think that they will have to be content with a point, having failed to win an away international since January 2022. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martinique win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 26.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Martinique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Martinique in this match.

Result
MartiniqueDrawEl Salvador
46.26% (-0.508 -0.51) 26.88% (-0.11 -0.11) 26.86% (0.623 0.62)
Both teams to score 47.89% (0.777 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (0.77 0.77)56.63% (-0.763 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (0.617 0.62)77.6% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.10000000000001 0.1)24.45% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (0.137 0.14)58.89% (-0.13 -0.13)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (0.95200000000001 0.95)36.62% (-0.944 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (0.942 0.94)73.4% (-0.935 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Martinique 46.26%
    El Salvador 26.86%
    Draw 26.88%
MartiniqueDrawEl Salvador
1-0 @ 12.61% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.215 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 46.26%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.156 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 26.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Martinique 1-0 Curacao
Monday, September 11 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 3-0 Martinique
Friday, September 8 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 6-4 Martinique
Wednesday, July 5 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Panama
Friday, June 30 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: El Salvador 1-2 Martinique
Monday, June 26 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Costa Rica
Saturday, March 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 2-3 Trin. & Tob.
Monday, September 11 at 3.10am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guatemala 2-0 El Salvador
Friday, September 8 at 3.10am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 2-2 El Salvador
Wednesday, July 5 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: El Salvador 0-0 Costa Rica
Saturday, July 1 at 2.06am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: El Salvador 1-2 Martinique
Monday, June 26 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: South Korea 1-1 El Salvador
Tuesday, June 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies


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