SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Vizela |
54.96% ( 0.26) | 23.15% ( 0.01) | 21.89% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.97% ( -0.37) | 46.03% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.67% ( -0.35) | 68.33% ( 0.35) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( -0.04) | 16.62% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.55% ( -0.07) | 46.45% ( 0.08) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% ( -0.46) | 35.2% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.05% ( -0.48) | 71.96% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 54.95% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 21.89% |
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