Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Mazatlan
41.74% ( 0.56)	25.13% ( 0.18)	33.13% ( -0.74)

Both teams to score 56.62% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.17% (

-1)

46.83% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.91% (

-0.95)

69.09% (

0.94)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.63% (

-0.17)

22.37% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.13% (

-0.25)

55.87% (

0.24)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.94% (

-0.94)

27.06% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.57% (

-1.24)

62.43% (

1.23)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 41.74%

Mazatlan 33.13%

Draw 25.12%

Necaxa	Draw	Mazatlan
1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.13%