Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Mazatlan
45.82% ( -0.14)	26.65% ( 0.01)	27.53% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 49% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.57% (

0.05)

55.43% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.38% (

0.04)

76.62% (

-0.04)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.87% (

-0.04)

24.14% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.56% (

-0.06)

58.45% (

0.07)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.58% (

0.13)

35.42% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.82% (

0.13)

72.18% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 45.82%

Mazatlan 27.53%

Draw 26.65%

Necaxa	Draw	Mazatlan
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 45.82%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.53%