Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
-0.11) 
0.17) 
