Atletico Madrid will be considered firm favourites to win on Thursday and have every reason to feel confident of securing maximum points against an Osasuna side who are yet to find their groove in the early stages of this season.
Only Barcelona and Girona (both 16) have scored more La Liga goals that Atletico (13) so far this term, and we expect their in-form attackers to have more joy in the final third at Estadio El Sadar.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
0.47) 
-0.68) 
