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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
35.48% ( 1.48) | 24.11% ( 0.26) | 40.41% ( -1.73) |
| Both teams to score 60.84% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.4% ( -0.93) | 41.59% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36% ( -0.95) | 64% ( 0.95) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( 0.38) | 23.22% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.87% ( 0.55) | 57.13% ( -0.55) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( -1.18) | 20.75% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.61% ( -1.89) | 53.38% ( 1.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.48% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.41% |
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