SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Lanus |
38.68% ( 0.36) | 30.36% ( 0.13) | 30.96% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 40.7% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.43% ( -0.47) | 66.57% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.03% ( -0.32) | 84.97% ( 0.32) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% ( -0.02) | 33.46% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% ( -0.03) | 70.1% ( 0.03) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.17% ( -0.64) | 38.83% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.44% ( -0.61) | 75.57% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.22% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 13.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.35% | 0-1 @ 12.29% 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.55% Total : 30.96% |
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