Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 47.62%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.73%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
