SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
68.89% ( -0.42) | 18.72% ( 0.22) | 12.39% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( -0.49) | 43.2% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( -0.49) | 65.6% ( 0.49) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.55% ( -0.25) | 11.45% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.75% ( -0.55) | 36.26% ( 0.55) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.77% ( 0.02) | 45.23% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.88% ( 0.01) | 81.12% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
| 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.59% Total : 68.89% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.72% | 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.39% |
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