SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.73%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
75.01% ( -0.44) | 16.25% ( 0.26) | 8.74% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 43.49% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( -0.65) | 42.55% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( -0.65) | 64.95% ( 0.65) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.29% ( -0.27) | 9.7% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.65% ( -0.63) | 32.34% ( 0.63) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.16% ( -0.04) | 51.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.1% ( -0.02) | 85.89% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
| 2-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.12% Total : 75% | 1-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 16.25% | 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.81% Total : 8.74% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
