SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 77.75%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 8.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 1-2 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | Aberdeen |
77.75% ( 1.23) | 13.96% ( -0.73) | 8.29% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.27% ( 1.9) | 32.73% ( -1.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.58% ( 2.16) | 54.41% ( -2.16) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.2% ( 0.67) | 6.79% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.94% ( 1.76) | 25.06% ( -1.76) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.98% ( 0.25) | 46.02% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.26% ( 0.19) | 81.73% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.19)1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.55)3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.29)4-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.26)5-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.11)6-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.18)6-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.15)5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.54% Total : 77.75% | 1-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.9% Total : 13.96% | 1-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.39% Total : 8.29% |
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