SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 54.91%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Rangers |
23.24% ( 2.25) | 21.84% ( 1.22) | 54.91% ( -3.47) |
| Both teams to score 60.35% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.48% ( -2.96) | 38.51% ( 2.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.19% ( -3.21) | 60.81% ( 3.21) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( 0.27) | 29.81% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% ( 0.33) | 65.89% ( -0.33) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.98% ( -2) | 14.02% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.43% ( -4.07) | 41.56% ( 4.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.71)2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.24% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.56)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.55)0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.49)0-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.45)2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.51)0-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.44)2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.29)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.31)0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.27)Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.91% |
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