SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Newcastle United |
33.89% ( -0.17) | 25.23% ( -0.02) | 40.88% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.5% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( 0.03) | 47.08% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( 0.02) | 69.32% ( -0.03) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( -0.09) | 26.71% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.02% ( -0.12) | 61.98% ( 0.11) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 0.1) | 22.89% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.35% ( 0.15) | 56.64% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.89% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.88% |
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