It will take more than just a new face on the sidelines to turn around the fortunes of Vasco da Gama and playing a side with its share of chance creators along with one of the best strikers in the league is probably the last thing they need.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
0.29) 
-0.23) 
