SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Flamengo |
45.29% ( 1.67) | 25.44% ( 0.12) | 29.28% ( -1.78) |
| Both teams to score 53.82% ( -1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( -1.32) | 49.69% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( -1.19) | 71.71% ( 1.19) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( 0.21) | 21.93% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.8% ( 0.32) | 55.2% ( -0.32) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( -1.91) | 31.07% ( 1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.62% ( -2.29) | 67.38% ( 2.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.28% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.28% |
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