SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Braga |
36.45% ( -0.27) | 25.36% ( 0.02) | 38.19% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.68% ( -0.09) | 47.32% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( -0.08) | 69.54% ( 0.09) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% ( -0.19) | 25.33% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.88% ( -0.26) | 60.12% ( 0.26) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( 0.09) | 24.38% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.21% ( 0.13) | 58.79% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.45% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
