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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
39.5% ( 0.24) | 24.63% ( 0.13) | 35.87% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.99% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.97% ( -0.67) | 44.03% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.59% ( -0.65) | 66.41% ( 0.65) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( -0.18) | 22.24% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( -0.26) | 55.67% ( 0.26) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( -0.51) | 24.13% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% ( -0.72) | 58.44% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.5% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2% Total : 35.87% |
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