Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 76.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 8.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
0.21) 
-0.06) 
