SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 52.26%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.48%) and 3-1 (6.37%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Jong PSV |
52.26% ( -0.25) | 21.24% ( 0.07) | 26.5% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 66.38% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.78% ( -0.21) | 32.22% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.18% ( -0.24) | 53.82% ( 0.25) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.31% ( -0.15) | 12.69% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.12% ( -0.3) | 38.88% ( 0.3) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( 0.01) | 23.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.78% ( 0.01) | 58.21% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 52.26% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.5% |
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