SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Maidstone United |
48.94% ( -0.1) | 23.37% ( 0.03) | 27.68% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.63% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.46% ( -0.08) | 41.54% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.06% ( -0.08) | 63.94% ( 0.07) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( -0.07) | 17.16% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.59% ( -0.12) | 47.4% ( 0.11) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( 0.01) | 28.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.33% ( 0.02) | 63.66% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.01% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.68% |
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