SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | Worthing |
35.43% ( -0.06) | 24.03% ( 0.04) | 40.54% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.13% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.79% ( -0.19) | 41.21% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.4% ( -0.19) | 63.6% ( 0.19) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( -0.12) | 23.07% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% ( -0.17) | 56.91% ( 0.18) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( -0.07) | 20.53% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.97% ( -0.11) | 53.03% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.43% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 40.54% |
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