Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Feb 2, 2023 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Jalisco
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result |
| Atlas | Draw | Toluca |
53.35% ( -0.19) | 24.46% ( 0) | 22.19% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( 0.23) |
| 48.89% ( 0.19) | 51.11% ( -0.19) |
| 27.04% ( 0.17) | 72.96% ( -0.16) |
| 80.9% ( 0) | 19.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.28% ( -0) | 50.72% ( 0.01) |
| 62.25% ( 0.29) | 37.76% ( -0.29) |
