Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
