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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Aug 11, 2020 at 11pm UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 0
Mazatlan

Passerini (43' pen.)
Gonzalez (45+2'), Baeza (82'), Gonzalez (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jimenez (37'), Rocha (79')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Mazatlan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Necaxa in this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawMazatlan
48.94%24.81%26.25%
Both teams to score 53.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05%48.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96%71.04%
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96%20.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.76%52.24%
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01%32.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43%69.57%
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 48.93%
    Mazatlan 26.25%
    Draw 24.81%
NecaxaDrawMazatlan
1-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 8.54%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 48.93%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.33%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 26.25%


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