Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Puebla in this match.