Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toluca in this match.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Toluca
30.79% ( -0.11)	24.55% ( -0.04)	44.66% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 57.61% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.89% (

0.15)

45.11% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.54% (

0.14)

67.46% (

-0.14)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

27.7% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73% (

63.27% (

-0)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

0.12)

20.31% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32% (

0.2)

52.68% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Puebla 30.79%

Toluca 44.66%

Draw 24.55%

Puebla	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.79%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.55%	1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 44.66%