Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Pumas	Draw	Cruz Azul
37.27% ( 0.46)	26.66% ( 0.11)	36.06% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 52% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.99% (

-0.47)

53% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.4% (

-0.4)

74.6% (

0.4)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.47% (

0.05)

27.53% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.96% (

0.06)

63.04% (

-0.05)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.75% (

-0.57)

28.25% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.04% (

-0.72)

63.96% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Pumas 37.27%

Cruz Azul 36.06%

Draw 26.66%

Pumas	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 37.27%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.76% Total : 36.06%