Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Nov 6, 2023 at 12.05am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 50.97%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
| Result |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Toluca |
50.97% ( 5.61) | 22.37% ( -0.38) | 26.66% ( -5.22) |
| Both teams to score 62.29% ( -2.37) |
| 62.37% ( -1.53) | 37.63% ( 1.53) |
| 40.13% ( -1.66) | 59.87% ( 1.66) |
| 85.01% ( 1.43) | 15% ( -1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.55% ( 2.64) | 43.45% ( -2.64) |
| 73.28% ( -4.08) | 26.72% ( 4.09) |
