Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.