Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
0.26) 
-0.03) 
