SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Club Tijuana |
62.84% ( -0.27) | 19.63% ( 0.2) | 17.53% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.62% ( -0.78) | 36.38% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.49% ( -0.85) | 58.52% ( 0.86) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.93% ( -0.29) | 11.08% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.56% ( -0.66) | 35.45% ( 0.67) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.97% ( -0.38) | 34.04% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.28% ( -0.41) | 70.72% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | Club Tijuana |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.69% Total : 62.84% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.63% | 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 17.53% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
