Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Sep 4, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Torres (43'), Violante (90+2')
FT
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and CD Guadalajara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
36.39% ( 0.14) | 27.09% ( -0.01) | 36.51% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.05) |
| 45.27% ( 0.06) | 54.73% ( -0.05) |
| 23.95% ( 0.05) | 76.04% ( -0.04) |
| 71.12% ( 0.11) | 28.88% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.25% ( 0.14) | 64.75% ( -0.14) |
| 71.19% ( -0.05) | 28.81% ( 0.05) |
