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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
B

Brest
2 - 4
Bordeaux

Mounie (16'), Belaili (34')
Chardonnet (30')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Mangas (14'), Mara (32', 73'), Dilrosun (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-1 Bordeaux

Brest may have little left to play for but, realistically, that is also the case for Bordeaux. They will likely give it their all either way but Les Girondins simply have not been good enough this season and we do not expect them to end the campaign on a high so are backing a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawBordeaux
59.42% (-2.541 -2.54) 20.33% (0.769 0.77) 20.25% (1.766 1.77)
Both teams to score 61.36% (0.407 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.79% (-0.90599999999999 -0.91)35.2% (0.899 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.78% (-1.014 -1.01)57.21% (1.007 1.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.37% (-0.943 -0.94)11.63% (0.936 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.35% (-2.06 -2.06)36.64% (2.053 2.05)
Bordeaux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (1.183 1.18)30.57% (-1.19 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2% (1.381 1.38)66.79% (-1.39 -1.39)
Score Analysis
    Brest 59.42%
    Bordeaux 20.25%
    Draw 20.33%
BrestDrawBordeaux
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.259 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.9% (-0.422 -0.42)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.76% (-0.292 -0.29)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.36 -0.36)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.193 -0.19)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.215 -0.22)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 59.42%
1-1 @ 9.06% (0.358 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.197 0.2)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.16 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.33%
1-2 @ 5.37% (0.379 0.38)
0-1 @ 4.21% (0.318 0.32)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.263 0.26)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.149 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.213 0.21)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 20.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monaco 4-2 Brest
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Clermont
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Brest
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Lyon
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 2-1 Brest
Saturday, April 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 0-0 Lorient
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 4-1 Bordeaux
Sunday, May 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 0-1 Nice
Sunday, May 1 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 5-3 Bordeaux
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 2-2 St Etienne
Wednesday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 6-1 Bordeaux
Sunday, April 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1


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