Le Havre cruised to all three points in their previous home game against Lorient, and we think that they will claim another victory on Sunday when they face a Clermont side bereft of confidence following four defeats in five games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 44.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Le Havre in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Le Havre.
0.27) 
-0.29) 
