Auxerre will be determined to avoid another heavy defeat against their in-form opponents, but Lens should have too much confidence and class having made such a strong start to the campaign. They have won all nine of their home games this season and will expect to make it a perfect 10 on Saturday.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
0.2) 
-0.09) 
