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LL
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 11, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
LL

Lens
4 - 1
Lorient

Kakuta (16' pen.), Jean (39'), Kalimuendo (55'), Banza (88' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moffi (29')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawLorient
45.22%27.28%27.5%
Both teams to score 47.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.26%57.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.52%78.48%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54%25.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71%60.29%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.3%36.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52%73.48%
Score Analysis
    Lens 45.22%
    Lorient 27.5%
    Draw 27.28%
LensDrawLorient
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 8.74%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 27.5%

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